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AACE 2024 Ian Nicholson

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Conference Expo: Why Conduct Integrated Cost & Schedule Risk Analysis?

  • Presentation Focus: Why Conduct Integrated Cost & Schedule Risk Analysis?
  • RP 57R-09 Overview: Details steps for conducting an integrated cost and schedule risk analysis.
Initial Requirement: Analysis must start with a cost-loaded schedule.
  • Challenges of developing cost-loaded schedules.
  • Benefits of the combined model approach.
  • Results obtained from using this approach.

Cost-Loaded Schedule Challenges:

  • Time-consuming for those used to resource-loaded schedules.
  • Requires adding activities and constraints for time-independent costs.
  • Compromises schedule integrity.
  • Changes necessitate extensive rework and reconciliation.

Proposed Practical Approach:

  • Develop a risk model with linked cost and schedule modules.
  • Link time-dependent costs (e.g., labor, rented equipment) to driving activities.
  • Model time-independent costs (e.g., materials, placed equipment) separately.

Advantages of Combined Model Approach:

  • Concurrent modeling of cost and schedule.
  • Allows analysis of Joint Confidence Level (JCL) without a cost-loaded schedule.
  • Speeds up model development and analysis.
  • Enables independent or joint completion and analysis of cost and schedule models.
  • Facilitates calculation of schedule impact on cost.

🤝 This session occured at the JUNE 2024 AACE Conference Expon in the USA, featuring Ian Nicholson from Emerald Associates.

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AACE Presentation Recording June 2024